WHO Forecasts Global Tobacco Users to Drop to 1.27 Billion by 2025

FILE PHOTO: World Health Organization (WHO) Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus attends a news conference organized by Geneva Association of United Nations Correspondents (ACANU) amid the COVID-19 outbreak, caused by the novel coronavirus, at the WHO headquarters in Geneva Switzerland July 3, 2020. Fabrice Coffrini/Pool via REUTERS/File Photo

In the next four years, going by the fourth World Health Organisation (WHO) global tobacco trends report, the number of tobacco users is expected to drop to 1.27 billion.

The 2025 target is coming as the number of tobacco users, according to WHO, continues to decrease globally, going from 1.32 billion in 2015 to 1.30 billion last year.

Sixty countries are now on track to achieving the voluntary global target of a 30% per cent reduction by 2025, an increase from two years ago, when only 32 countries were on course.

For WHO Director-General, Tedros Ghebreyesus, the numbers are very encouraging, but more work must be done, pointing out, “we still have a long way to go, and tobacco companies will continue to use every trick in the book to defend the gigantic profits they make from peddling their deadly wares.”

Recent evidence, according to WHO, shows that the tobacco industry used the COVID-19 pandemic to build influence with governments in 80 States.

The report urges member states to accelerate implementation of the measures outlined in the WHO Framework Convention on Tobacco Control (WHO FCTC).

Director of WHO Department of Health Promotion, Ruediger Krech, attributed some of the progress to measures aligned with the WHO FCTC, while maintaining that success is “fragile.”

“It is clear that tobacco control is effective, and we have a moral obligation to our people to move aggressively in order to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) link”, he said.

A newly released WHO Global Investment Case for Tobacco Cessation, also makes the case for investing in cessation interventions.

According to the report, contributing $1.68 per capita each year to national toll-free quit lines, SMS-based support, and other interventions could help 152 million tobacco users successfully quit by 2030.

The report, and the investment case were released right after the ninth session of the Conference of the Parties to the Protocol to Eliminate Illicit Trade in Tobacco Products.

Key findings 

Last year, 22.3% per cent of the global population that used tobacco, 36.7 per cent were men and 7.8 per cent, the world’s women.

Currently, around 38 million children, between the ages of 13 and 15, are using tobacco. Out of this figure, 13 million are girls and the other 25 million, boys.  While it is illegal for minors to purchase it, the goal is to achieve zero child tobacco users.

On average, upper middle-income countries are making the slowest progress, but with data quality low or insufficient in 29 countries, more monitoring is needed to assess a trend.

Of all WHO regions, the steepest decline is in the Americas, where the average user rate dropped from 21 per cent in 2010 to 16 per cent last year.

In Africa, the rate fell from 15 per cent to 10 per cent and the continent continues to have the lowest numbers.  

In Europe, 18% per cent of women still use tobacco, substantially more than in any other WHO region, while all others are on track to reduce women’s usage rates by at least 30% per cent by 2025.

Although South-East Asia has the highest rates, with around 432 million users or 29 per cent of its population, it is also the region in which the numbers are declining fastest.

Finally, the Western Pacific is projected to become the region with the highest use among men, with indications showing that more than 45% per cent will still be using tobacco in 2025.

According to WHO, this product kills more than eight million people each year, over 7 seven million of whom die as a direct result of smoking tobacco while around 1.2 million others from second-hand smoke.

 

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