Crystal Ball Jurisprudence: The US Appeal Against Assange Opens

It’s time to ready yourself for ghoulishly bad behaviour. Shred your bill of rights or whatever
charter of liberties you have handy. Flatulent, dangerous and fatuous, the US prosecution of
Julian Assange took to the UK High Court on October 27, opening its effort to overturn the
January ruling by District Judge Vanessa Baraitser. In a judgment poor on press liberties and
publishing but the sound on the issue of mental health and wellbeing, Baraitser held that
Assange’s extradition to the US to face espionage and computer intrusion charges would
exacerbate his suicide risk and be oppressive.

Despite her finding, the judge still left the door open for her own bit of oppression by
refusing Assange bail as the US appeal process got underway. To date, he remains in the
high-security Belmarsh prison facility.

James Lewis QC of the Crown Prosecution Service opened proceedings by directing several
salvos at Baraitser’s decision. Reliance was placed on five grounds: that the district judge did
not correctly apply UK extradition law; that Baraitser should have sought assurances from the
US authorities after deciding to deny the request; that she ought to have disqualified the
expert psychiatric evidence of defence witness Michael Kopelman; that she erred in assessing
the evidence of suicide risk; and that the UK government was issued a number of assurances
going to the problems identified in the court decision.

According to Lewis, the judge had adopted the wrong test in considering the decline of
Assange’s mental health and “should have weighed crucial factors in the psychiatric evidence
significantly differently.” She should not have speculated about “future uncertain events”.

Do not concern yourself with the “risk of a medical condition getting worse in the future if
certain events do or do not occur”.

The proffering of “binding” assurances that the US government would not subject Assange to
Special Administrative Measures (SAMs) or condemn Assange to the ADX Florence
supermax facility in Colorado was also meant to convince the court. Those undertakings had,
Lewis argued, the effect of negating the force of the medical testimony submitted on
Assange’s behalf and should therefore be discounted. “Once the conditions of SAMs and
ADX are removed, once there is assurance of appropriate medical care, once it is clear he will
be repatriated to Australia to serve any sentence, then we can safely say the district judge
would not have decided the relevant question in the way that she did.”

In court, Lewis assumed the role of performing witchdoctor. “Assurances can be issued at
any time in these proceedings according to the jurisprudence in this court.” The fact that
these had not been given prior to Baraitser’s judgment was because “it was highly unlikely
[Assange] would ever be put in SAMs so opportunity never arose”.

Diplomatic assurances of this sort are often counterfeit, usually written in water and
evaporated by time. As was curtly put by Assange’s defence team, these were
“meaningless”. Amnesty International legal adviser Simon Crowther’s assessment of their
value and veracity is disturbingly accurate. “They’re based on diplomatic relations between
states, they’re not legally binding under international law.” The enumerated list in a Human
Rights Watch report from 2014 makes for grim reading on precisely that point. There would
be nothing holding the US government to any given pledge, despite the breezy claim by the prosecution that Britain had never complained about assurances given by the US authorities
in extradition cases.

For all that, the US, argued Lewis, would still reserve the right to impose SAMs if needed.
Paradise was also possible: one of the justices considered that, even if the sword were to fall
on Assange, his head would somehow escape its full force. Conviction did not entail a stiff
sentence, if, indeed, he would suffer sentence at all. Lewis, wooing, keen to impress, fed the
presumption. The defence, he said pointedly, had exaggerated the risks of a petrifying life
sentence. Consider the 45-month sentence handed to the “drone” whistleblower Daniel Hale
or the 63-month sentence imposed on NSA whistleblower Reality Winner.

Assange could be dealt with swiftly in US court proceedings (unlikely, given prosecutions
using the Espionage Act are larded by security protocols and procedures). The defence
would then use the shield of the First Amendment. Assange, protected, would walk free of
shackles. For a person so insistent on discrediting the lower judge’s decision for having been
too speculative about Assange’s treatment (the “crystal ball approach”), this was rich indeed.
Prosecutions using the Espionage Act to target the unauthorised disclosure of information
tend to succeed, trumping free speech protections.

What, then, might await Assange in lieu of SAMs or the supermax? Communications
Management Units (CMUs) at Federal Correctional Institution, Terre Haute in Indiana, or the
US Penitentiary in Marion, Illinois, were suggested. Both were created by the Federal
Bureau of Prisons (BOP) to segregate and isolate prison inmates from the rest of the BOP
population. They have been disproportionately used for Muslim prisoners convicted on
terrorism charges and “prohibited activities related to communication”.

Undeterred by this history, Lewis drew upon a declaration from Assistant US Attorney in the
Eastern District of Virginia Gordon Kromberg on the nasty merits of these secretive centres.
“CMU inmates are afforded the same opportunities to communicate with individuals outside
of prison as regular inmates.” However, Kromberg qualifies this. “Their communications
may be more extensively monitored … or the BOP may impose certain limitations, as noted
in the Bureau Program Statement, to prevent them from engaging in additional criminal
conduct.” Were Assange to find himself in a CMU, he could be potentially subjected to even
more onerous restrictions that the policy afforded under SAMs.

Attention then turned to demolishing the expert evidence of neuropsychiatrist Kopelman,
who had convinced Baraitser that Assange was at a “very high” risk of attempting suicide if
he was extradited to the US. According to Lewis, the failure by Kopelman to note the
existence of Assange’s partner Stella Moris and their children in the initial report, was
“actively misleading” despite the correction being made in the final court report. The
omission had the effect of discolouring the suicide risk and was “not an honest statement of
truth”. According to the prosecution, the Kopelman testimony should have been ditched,
leaving the US witness assessments as the only credible alternatives.
Baraitser, for her part, had found the omission a “very human response” given the risk posed
to Moris and Assange, notably in the wake of the espionage operation against the publisher
mounted by the Spanish security firm UC Global, at the behest of US intelligence.
From the outset, the prosecution’s overall thrust on evidence of Assange’s mental wellbeing
was one of scornful scepticism. Showing a pitiful comprehension of how the potentially suicidal might operate, Lewis suggested that Assange had drunk coffee in the company of
other prisoners, been “alert”, making “good eye contact”. The mentally ill would be
incapable of hosting a TV chat show on Russia Today, negotiate the processes of seeking
asylum or aid Edward Snowden escape from Hong Kong.

Edward Fitzgerald QC, taking the stand to defend the merits of Baraitser’s ruling, called it
“carefully reasoned and considered”. The court, he argued, should “respect the findings of
facts from the judge of first instance who lived through the hearing.” His counterpart was
seeking “reasons for reasons” when Baraitser had given “cogent reasons why she prefers
Kopelman.” The judge had been best placed to make her own assessment and found that he
had given “impartial evidence to the court.” The notion that Kopelman was “a lone wolf is
absolute nonsense.” There was also backing for his evidence from autism expert Quinton
Deeley, and even some from the US government’s own expert witness, Seena Fazel.

As for the submission by Lewis that Assange showed cool, level-headed judgment in his
behaviour, Fitzgerald was indignant. “This is not Cato or Cleopatra committing suicide
rather than face their enemies,” he told the court. “This came out of a man who is suffering
from a mental disorder.” The impulse to commit suicide was not governed by rational
decision-making or volition but mental illness.

During the latter part of the day’s proceedings, Fitzgerald had a moment of reflection that has
become something of a trademark. “I sometimes wonder whether my learned friend is
reading the same judgment we are.” He is, but doing so through his own version of crystal
ball jurisprudence.

Dr. Binoy Kampmark was a Commonwealth Scholar at Selwyn College, Cambridge. He
lectures at RMIT University, Melbourne. Email: bkampmark@gmail.com

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